PEF home page and weblog
I have an opinion piece on Saskatchewan’s recent budget in the Regina Leader-Post. Points raised in the opinion piece include the following: -Reductions in personal and corporate income taxes help the rich more than the poor (and this budget cut both personal and corporate income taxes). -Increases in sales tax hurt the poor more than […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under aboriginal peoples, Austerity, budgets, Child Care, corporate income tax, debt, deficits, economic growth, economic models, economic thought, employment, fiscal policy, health care, income, income distribution, income support, income tax, Indigenous people, inequality, NEO-LIBERAL POLICIES, population aging, post-secondary education, poverty, public infrastructure, public services, Saskatchewan, social policy, taxation, unemployment.
April 23rd, 2017
This year’s Alternative Federal Budget (AFB) was released on March 9. I was proud to be the primary author of its housing chapter (that chapter is available in English here and in French here). The first AFB exercise began in 1994, with the first AFB being published in 1995. That involved a joint effort between […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under aboriginal peoples, Alberta, Austerity, Bank of Canada, banks, BC, budgets, debt, deficits, democracy, economic crisis, economic growth, economic history, economic literacy, economic models, economic thought, employment, federal budget, feminist economics, fiscal policy, gender critique, housing, income distribution, income tax, Indigenous people, inequality, inflation, interest rates, labour market, macroeconomics, Manitoba, monetary policy, NDP, NEO-LIBERAL POLICIES, Nova Scotia, Ontario, party politics, poverty, progressive economic strategies, public infrastructure, public services, Quebec, Role of government, Saskatchewan, social policy, stimulus, taxation, unemployment, women.
March 20th, 2017
An Alberta-based volunteer working group, of which I’m a part, recently released a document titled Foundations for an Alberta Alternative Budget (for media coverage, see this Metro article). Working group members include staff from Alberta’s non-profit sector, labour movement and advocacy sector. While our long-term goal is to emulate the great work of the Alternative […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under Alberta, child benefits, Child Care, deficits, Dutch disease, education, employment, environment, fiscal policy, health care, homeless, housing, income support, income tax, industrial policy, macroeconomics, oil and gas, poverty, progressive economic strategies, public infrastructure, public services, regulation, resources, social policy, taxation, unemployment, unions.
March 15th, 2017
Over at the web site of the Calgary Homeless Foundation, I’ve written a blog post titled “How Housing Policy Benefits from a Socioeconomic Perspective.” Points raised in the blog post include the following: -Leaders in Canada’s non-profit housing sector should think beyond just housing, and think hard about the importance of economic and social factors […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under Australia, economic history, economic literacy, economic thought, fiscal policy, homeless, housing, income support, macroeconomics, NEO-LIBERAL POLICIES, poverty, progressive economic strategies, social policy, unemployment.
December 14th, 2016
This weekend, Quebec unions and activists issued a joint statement on the appeals process in Employment Insurance, calling on Trudeau to review the appeals process. The 2012 budget removed part-time panels of three community representatives – one labour, one business, and one government, and replaced them with full-time adjudicators working on their own. The joint […]
Over at the web site of the Calgary Homeless Foundation, I’ve written a blog post titled “Ten things to know about Canada’s guaranteed annual income debate.” Points raised in the blog post include the following: -There are people and groups on both the left and right of the political spectrum who favour a Guaranteed Annual […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under aboriginal peoples, Alberta, Employment Insurance, fiscal federalism, gender critique, guaranteed annual income, income, income support, Indigenous people, inequality, labour market, Old Age Security, Ontario, poverty, progressive economic strategies, Role of government, social policy, unemployment.
September 30th, 2016
Le 1er fÃ©vrier, jâ€™ai fait une confÃ©rence sur l’itinÃ©rance adressÃ©e aux Ã©tudiants du sÃ©minaire d’Ã©tudes supÃ©rieures de monsieur Steve Pomeroy Ã la School of Public Policy and Administration Ã l’UniversitÃ© Carleton. Le thÃ¨me de ma prÃ©sentation a Ã©tÃ© l’Ã©mergence de l’itinÃ©rance au Canada en tant que domaine politique publique pressant dans les annÃ©es 1980. Jâ€™ai […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under cities, economic history, Employment Insurance, homeless, housing, income support, municipalities, NEO-LIBERAL POLICIES, Ontario, poverty, progressive economic strategies, recession, Role of government, social policy, Toronto, Uncategorized, unemployment.
February 11th, 2016
On February 1, I gave a guest presentation on homelessness to a graduate seminar class on housing policy taught by Steve Pomeroy at Carleton University’s School of Public Policy and Administration. The focus of my presentation was the emergence of homelessness in Canada as a pressing public policy area in the 1980s. I discussed the […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under cities, economic history, Employment Insurance, homeless, housing, income support, municipalities, NEO-LIBERAL POLICIES, Ontario, poverty, progressive economic strategies, recession, Role of government, social policy, Toronto, unemployment.
February 4th, 2016
On November 4, I gave a historical presentation on Canadian housing policy at the annual conference of the Canadian Alliance to End Homelessness. My slide presentation, which focused on pre-1964 Canadian social history, can be downloaded here. Here are five things to know about pre-1964 history that set the tone for important developments in Canadian […]
Le 4 novembre, jâ€™ai fait une prÃ©sentation sur la politique du logement au Canada, lors de la ConfÃ©rence nationale pour mettre fin Ã lâ€™itinÃ©rance. Ma prÃ©sentation (qui a portÃ© sur l’histoire sociale canadienne avant 1964) illustrÃ©e de diapositives, peut Ãªtre tÃ©lÃ©chargÃ©e ici. Voici cinq choses Ã savoir sur lâ€™histoire avant 1964, pÃ©riode qui a donnÃ© […]
This afternoon I gave a presentation at Raising the Roofâ€™s Child & Family Homelessness Stakeholder Summit in Toronto. My slide deck can be downloaded here. To accompany the presentation, Iâ€™ve prepared the following list of â€œTen Things to Know About Homelessness in Canada.â€ 1.Efforts to enumerate persons experiencing homeless have generally been spotty, but it […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under aboriginal peoples, Alberta, Canada, cities, demographics, employment, Employment Insurance, fiscal policy, homeless, housing, income, income support, Indigenous people, labour market, macroeconomics, municipalities, Nunavut, Ontario, population aging, poverty, seniors, social policy, taxation, Toronto, unemployment.
September 17th, 2015
Cet aprÃ¨s-midi, jâ€™ai fait une prÃ©sentation au Child & Family Homelessness Stakeholder Summit, organisÃ© par Chez Toit, Ã Toronto. Ma presentation, illustrÃ©e de diapositives, peut Ãªtre tÃ©lÃ©chargÃ©e ici. Pour accompagner la prÃ©sentation, je vous ai prÃ©parÃ© la liste suivante: Â« Dix choses Ã savoir sur lâ€™itinÃ©rance au Canada. Â» 1. Les tentatives de dÃ©nombrer les […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under aboriginal peoples, Alberta, cities, demographics, Employment Insurance, fiscal policy, homeless, housing, income, income support, Indigenous people, labour market, macroeconomics, municipalities, Nunavut, population aging, poverty, seniors, social policy, taxation, Toronto, unemployment.
September 17th, 2015
What follow is a guest blog post from Glenn Burley: – If Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) and professional fields like medicine, law, and dentistry are the so-called golden ticket to a good job in todayâ€™s labour market, what does that say about the current and future health of our economy? The myth of […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under education, employment, inequality, Job vacanices, labour market, post-secondary education, skill shortages, student debt, unemployment, user fees, wages, young workers.
July 3rd, 2015
Here is the link to a short study I have done for the Broadbent Institute on the Harper Record on Jobs from 2006 to 2014 based on annual averages from the Labour Force Survey. Coverage in today’s Toronto Star is here. The basic findings, that there is still a lot of slack in the job […]
Jason Kenney has been promoted to Minister of National Defence, andÂ Pierre Poilievre has been tapped to replace him at Employment and Social Development Canada. Sigh. It seems like such a short time ago that I railed against Jason Kenney’s first tweet as Minister of ESDC. At least Kenney’s tweet had something to do with employment […]
This guest blog post has been written by Louis-Philippe Rochon. You can follow him on Twitter @Lprochon – Harperâ€™s recent incarnation as an anti-terrorist crusader has caught many Canadians by surprise. Harper is spending considerable political energy beating the drums of war against terrorists, and introducing a far-reaching, and much condemned, bill aimed at restricting […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under Bank of Canada, banks, China, Conservative government, economic crisis, economic growth, employment, exchange rates, financial markets, GDP, global crisis, interest rates, international trade, labour market, macroeconomics, manufacturing, monetary policy, recession, Role of government, unemployment, US.
February 6th, 2015
In a recent CBC blog post, Louis-Philippe Rochon assesses the current state of the Canadian economy. The link to the blog post is here. Follow him on Twitter @Lprochon.
Posted by Nick Falvo under Bank of Canada, budgets, China, Conservative government, deficits, economic crisis, economic growth, employment, exchange rates, federal budget, fiscal policy, global crisis, household debt, IMF, interest rates, labour market, macroeconomics, manufacturing, monetary policy, recession, stimulus, unemployment.
February 5th, 2015
Over at the blog of the Institute for New Economic Thinking, Ottawa U professor Mario Seccareccia has given an interview titled “Greece Shows the Limits of Austerity in the Eurozone.Â What Now?” The interview can be read here.
Posted by Nick Falvo under banks, budgets, capitalism, debt, deficits, deflation, democracy, economic crisis, economic history, Europe, exchange rates, financial crisis, Greece, IMF, inflation, monetary policy, recession, taxation, unemployment, wages.
February 5th, 2015
Louis-Philippe Rochonâ€”who now blogs for CBCâ€”argues that almost nobody had been expecting the Bank of Canada’s recent decision to lower the rate of interest. His post can be found here. Follow him on Twitter @Lprochon.
Last week my Unifor colleague Jordan Brennan and I published a study through the CCPA Ontario office examining the historical empirical evidence regarding the link betweenÂ changes in minimum wages and employment outcomes.Â We find there is no robust evidence in Canadian historical data that increases in real minimum wages cause either lower employment or higher […]
Just a short post ahead of the job numbers that come out from Statistics Canada tomorrow. Five years after the end of the last recession, and Canada’s labour market is still limping along. And it seems to have taken a turn for the worse recently. While the Conservative government crows about one million net new […]
This morning the Social Research and Demonstration Corporation released a new report about “motivational interviewing” for welfare recipients.Â The link to the full report is here, and the link to the executive summary is here. Authored by Reuben Ford, Jenn Dixon, Shek-wai Hui, Isaac Kwakye and Danielle Patry, the study reports on a recent randomized […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under BC, Conservative government, employment, immigration, income, income support, Indigenous people, Job vacanices, labour market, migrant workers, poverty, skill shortages, social policy, temporary workers, unemployment, wages, workplace benefits.
September 11th, 2014
The number of job vacancies recorded by Statistics Canada are at a four year low (job vacancy data collection began in January 2011). The number of unemployed persons has changed very little, and so we have a relatively high number of unemployed persons per job vacancy. Even though the data is not seasonally adjusted, you […]
Erin has already commented that the tiny silver lining of 26,000 net new jobs in May covers a net loss of full-time jobs. In fact, if you compare this May to May 2013, we see that all of the net job gain in the past 12 months is part-time work too. To look at the […]
Yesterday I blogged about rental housing in Yellowknife, over at the Northern Public Affairs web site.Â Specifically, I blogged about a recent announcement by the city’s largest for-profit landlord that it plans to “tighten” its policies vis-a-vis renting to recipients of “income assistance” (which, in most parts of Canada, is known generically as social assistance).Â […]
Posted by Nick Falvo under aboriginal peoples, Canada's North, competition, Conservative government, corporate profits, employment, Employment Insurance, free markets, homeless, housing, income support, Indigenous people, Northwest Territories, P3s, poverty, prices, privatization, Real Estate, regulation, Role of government, social policy, unemployment.
May 24th, 2014
Today the Ontario Federation of Labour and CUPE Ontario published calculations I preparedÂ of how Ontario Conservative leader Tim Hudak’sÂ promise to eliminateÂ 100,000 public sector jobs will be felt at the local level, on cities and communities across the province. The originalÂ OFL release provides info on the magnitude of these impacts for the 15 largest census metropolitan […]
It’s a bit of a headscratcher. First, Ontario Conservative leader Tim Hudak builds his whole campaign around a promise to create one million new jobs in Ontario over eight years, then one of his first campaignÂ commitments threats Â is to reduce the number of Ontario government employees by 100,000, together with a wage freeze for every […]
I’ve written a little bit about the importance of tracking underemployment trends, and this is particularly important when those trends diverge from the headline unemployment rate. This graph (12 month moving average of unadjusted monthly data) separates unemployed workers and underemployed workers. In recent years the number of unemployed workers has fallen slowly (partially due […]
Today’s labour force numbers are ugly, there’s no other word for it.Â Employment down 29,000 jobs.Â Paid employment (ie. not counting self-employment) down 46,000 jobs.Â The only reason the unemployment rate held steady (at 6.9%) is because labour force participation fell again: by almost 2 tenths of a point, to just over 66%.Â That’s the […]
For my day job, I wrote a thing about underemployment in Canada. I thought that it might be useful to post my method here so that other interested parties could calculate it for themselves. The headline unemployment rate counts all those who are unemployed, available to start work, and actively looking for a job. The […]