The Polls and the Proles
The polls are suggesting a Harper majority may be in the cards, but they may be counting out the wild card in this deck: young people.
How do polls work? Pollsters call people. On land lines.
Who answers land lines? Not many young people anymore. Theyâ€™re constantly connected through their cells, mostly through texts. But those numbers arenâ€™t easily accessed.
Even if they do answer a land line, they are less likely than older voters to take part in a survey of opinion.
So how do todayâ€™s young voters feel? Do they think a Harper majority is a good or bad thing? Are they undecided or just not interested?
Itâ€™s common that the poor and low-waged working class donâ€™t turn out to vote, For those who do, a quick discussion is most likely to unveil how much of their opinion was formed by a friend or a slogan rather than thinking through their self-described self-interests. The disconnect is, always, surprising.
In this election the proletariat includes young people. (The Latin proletarius means a citizen of the lowest class, someone with no wealth, no control over oneâ€™s work.)
The recession threw 200,000 young people out of work in the first year. Today there are still 200,000 fewer people under 25 years of age have a job than in 2008. Theyâ€™re drowning in student debt; out of work and out of sight during most of the public debate about the public interest.
They are disaffected by all the political bluster, and with plenty of good reason. But it is assumed they are, by and large, not paying attention.
That may be true, yet this yearâ€™s campaign has delivered up a flurry of fresh pushback strategies, cheeky websites, fun videos and mobs of students at advance polls. I canâ€™t remember vote mobs in any other election, can you? Fun and funny, the young and eligible are rocking the blogosphere with politics.
The part thatâ€™s filtering through sure is not reflected in the polling numbers. But maybe theyâ€™re not even getting picked up by the polls.
On May 2nd, maybe young voters will turn out in unexpected numbers. And maybe LOL will spell N-O for Stephen Harper.