Globe and Mail Online Poll on Census
Yesterday a CCPA board member alerted my Exec Director that the Globe and Mail poll for the day was on the Census, noting that, very early in the day, the poll was running 2 votes yes for every vote no. The polling question:
Itâ€™s a provocative question. My guess is most people donâ€™t know what questions are even on the long-form, or that â€“ statistically speaking â€“ the average person would fill out the form once every 25 years. Our privacy is intruded upon more regularly by facebook, marketers, and unpleasant members of the extended family. Whatevs.
By the time I got to it, mid morning, the polls stood at 47% yes, 53% no.
By the afternoon, the polls were 31% yes, 69% no, based on over 13,000 votes. (Hey that’s better than some Stats Can survey sample sizes! which reinforces the fact that when you grow the sample you don’t necessarily get closer to the “truth”, until the numbers start getting closer to the whole population. Law Of Large Numbers.)
Iâ€™m not sure if theyâ€™ve done this before, but the Globe had the same poll online this morning.
At 7 a.m. 53% said yes, and 47% no. 24,346 people had voted.
If, by dayâ€™s end, the polls are reversed again, it will have told us little about how people really feel, should they know what is really being asked of them. But it may suggest that more people who donâ€™t want to answer Census questions are up and on their computers in the middle of the night.