Main menu:

History of RPE Thought

Posts by Tag

RSS New from the CCPA

  • Canada’s Fossil-Fuelled Pensions June 22, 2018
    The British Columbia Investment Management Corporation is the steward of BC’s public pensions, but bankrolls companies whose current business models exceed the climate change targets agreed to in the Paris Agreement to which Canada is a signatory. The pensions of over 500,000 British Columbians and assets worth $135 billion are managed by the Corporation—-one of Canada's largest […]
    Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
  • Imagine a Winnipeg...2018 Alternative Municipal Budget June 18, 2018
    Climate change; stagnant global economic growth; political polarization; growing inequality.  Our city finds itself dealing with all these issues, and more at once. The 2018 Alternative Municipal Budget (AMB) is a community response that shows how the city can deal with all these issues and balance the budget.
    Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
  • Why would a boom town need charity? Inequities in Saskatchewan’s oil boom and bust May 23, 2018
    When we think of a “boomtown,” we often imagine a formerly sleepy rural town suddenly awash in wealth and economic expansion. It might surprise some to learn that for many municipalities in oil-producing regions in Saskatchewan, the costs of servicing the oil boom can outweigh the benefits. A Prairie Patchwork: Reliance on Oil Industry Philanthropy […]
    Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
  • What are Canada’s energy options in a carbon-constrained world? May 1, 2018
    Canada faces some very difficult choices in maintaining energy security while meeting emissions reduction targets.  A new study by veteran earth scientist David Hughes—published through the Corporate Mapping Project, the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives and the Parkland Institute—is a comprehensive assessment of Canada’s energy systems in light of the need to maintain energy security and […]
    Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
  • The 2018 Living Wage for Metro Vancouver April 25, 2018
    The cost of raising a family in British Columbia increased slightly from 2017 to 2018. A $20.91 hourly wage is needed to cover the costs of raising a family in Metro Vancouver, up from $20.61 per hour in 2017 due to soaring housing costs. This is the hourly wage that two working parents with two young children […]
    Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
Progressive Bloggers

Meta

Recent Blog Posts

Posts by Author

Recent Blog Comments

The Progressive Economics Forum

Precarious work, Federal government edition

There was a recent article in the Hill Times about temporary workers in the federal public service, noting that this number is growing even under Trudeau’s sunny ways (that’s not entirely fair, the report only covered the first 5 months of the Liberal’s tenure).

The numbers come from the Privy Council clerk’s annual report, which shows that the number of temporary and contract workers in the federal public service increased by 2,800 between March 2015 and March 2016, to 35,000 workers, or about 13% of the total federal public service.

Because the recent Changing Workplaces Review from Ontario was on my mind, and the recent attention on the abuses of temporary employment agencies, I wondered if we even knew how many temporary agency workers there are in the federal public service, or the federally regulated sector.

From the Annual Survey of Service Industries: Employment Services, we do know the size of the Employment Services Industry – $13.3 billion in 2015, and we know that over half of that was temporary staffing. Government and non-profits make up about 10% of sales – but there would also be temporary agency workers placed in transportation and telecommunications, for example, and that breakdown wasn’t available here.

I had better luck with the Federal Jurisdiction Workplace Survey (FJWS). This survey covers industrial companies under the federal jurisdiction (not workers directly employed in the federal service). In 2015 the FJWS asked about the number of temporary workers paid through an employment or personnel agency over the course of 2015. Employers reported 60,000 workers paid through temporary agencies, most of these workers were employed with large workplaces. The breakdown by company size and industry is shown below.

Distribution of temporary workers paid through an employment agency, 2015

# of employees
Company size
1 to 5 employees 900
6 to 19 employees 800
20 to 99 employees 1,300
100 employees and more 57,100
Industry
Air transport 800
Rail transport x
Road transport 4,600
Maritime transport x
Postal & pipelines 39,700
Banks 8,100
Feed, flour, seed & grain 300
Telecomm & broadcasting 6,000
Miscellaneous industries 300
Total 60,000

Source: FJWS (2015)

Note: The “x” indicates that the data has been suppressed due to confidentiality concerns as required by the Statistics Act.

This all tells me two things. First, it is totally reasonable to look at ways to protect precarious workers in the federal public service and the federally regulated sector (remember all that noise about the NDP federal minimum wage promise not helping anyone?), and second – we need better data to do it.

 

Enjoy and share:

Comments

Comment from doconnor
Time: May 25, 2017, 2:08 pm

A lot of the temporary workers my be making well above minimum wage, although many probably still are precarious workers.

For a while my wife was a “temp” working full time at a serious office job for well above minimum wage, but they still did illegal things like not provide holiday pay.

Do you think those Postal & pipelines are more postal or more pipelines?

Comment from Paul Tulloch
Time: June 5, 2017, 11:49 am

We do need much better numbers in this area. There is not a lot- and if we are going to monitor low wage workers and minimum wages – it is critical we expand the measurement of such. Statistics Canada last redesigned the LFS in 1997- and that was just to bring in a hand full of changes. Now with precarious work becoming such a larger issue in society- we need to bring the LFS and other measurement tool to bare on this issue. I would recommend to anybody on this list it you sit on the Advisory committee for labour Statistics at Statistics Canada- that you try and work at such efforts. Without better data on this issue we cannot direct policy with the focus that it needs.

For example- yes the monthly survey does measure wages- but the experience at Statistics Canada is that the wage variable has a lot of non-response. Also- the wage question is not asked for those respondents indicating they are self employed. I estimate with the LFS micro file that in April 2017 nearly 3.5 million employees- make less than $15 per hour. I ran it for every month in 2016 and yes there is a seasonal component to it and will be publishing something on this soon. The problem is- we have around 3 million self employed that do not have a wage variable. We know from many studies- that self employed make less than employed on average- and also contain large pockets of the precarious workers- mainly identified in the LFS as unicorporated and without employees- which number around 1.3 million.

I am using a neural network right now to train on the micro file of the LFS at predicting low wage workers- so one can try and model an estimate for these workers. So far using a Tensor flow and a multilayer perceptron- with backpropogation- with one hidden layer- using a sigmoid functions on 55,000 workers- I am estimating at a 85% success rate on predicting low wage workers. Interesting as I am only using SEX, AGE Group, Usual hours worked, Tenure, and Union Status. I will be adding in an industry NAICS one-hot encoded – which I am sure will boost the model further.

But we should not have to use such AI based models to predict such! We should have such data. I do think one could get it from the Tax data- but they rarely ever share such data- and most times it is 3-4 years old by the time you get it.

Comment from Paul Tulloch
Time: June 5, 2017, 11:55 am

oh and I will be adding the new immigration variable into this model which I am sure will help the classification rate for the machine learning. Statistcis Canada has redone the Micro file for 2017 and has included the immigration status in the 2017 micro file- as well as the new occupation codes that were pulled from 2016. I will be publishing the results on my website in the near future. If anybody wants me to dig out some data on such research- let me know- if it is not too much work- I can do it for you.

Write a comment





Related articles